Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.326561 0.387858 0.456402 0.538573 0.634240 0.741934 0.872185
2025-01-12 0.231371 0.308861 0.404986 0.532325 0.695842 0.897943 1.165743
2025-01-19 0.180117 0.262417 0.372676 0.529819 0.746391 1.032465 1.436676
2025-01-26 0.153356 0.240102 0.363861 0.550988 0.823890 1.203856 1.768475
2025-02-02 0.143747 0.239116 0.382528 0.610275 0.958232 1.463949 2.246733
2025-02-09 0.127563 0.224652 0.378024 0.632953 1.039512 1.654094 2.641387
2025-02-16 0.108569 0.202038 0.356856 0.625635 1.072073 1.772386 2.937210
2025-02-23 0.090707 0.178075 0.329555 0.603747 1.077155 1.846244 3.168026
2025-03-02 0.075205 0.155537 0.301126 0.575460 1.066980 1.892532 3.355969
2025-03-09 0.068932 0.149136 0.300147 0.594654 1.139213 2.079995 3.791787
2025-03-16 0.058557 0.132916 0.278696 0.573492 1.136878 2.139204 4.013042
2025-03-23 0.053271 0.126185 0.274337 0.583637 1.192072 2.302606 4.428099
2025-03-30 0.048131 0.119235 0.269219 0.592916 1.249019 2.478577 4.889374
2025-04-06 0.042199 0.109532 0.257172 0.586900 1.276045 2.602756 5.268629
2025-04-13 0.037378 0.101495 0.247429 0.584199 1.308932 2.740223 5.683648
2025-04-20 0.035055 0.099076 0.249676 0.607368 1.397061 2.991715 6.337743
2025-04-27 0.035680 0.104193 0.269743 0.672220 1.579307 3.444061 7.420453
2025-05-04 0.033606 0.101902 0.272086 0.697014 1.677463 3.734346 8.201237
2025-05-11 0.029884 0.094472 0.260964 0.689014 1.702327 3.875604 8.689648
2025-05-18 0.025828 0.085297 0.244126 0.665081 1.688415 3.933708 9.009527
2025-05-25 0.021999 0.075985 0.225482 0.634143 1.654629 3.945606 9.231622
2025-06-01 0.020812 0.074459 0.227268 0.655137 1.746021 4.238710 10.081190
2025-06-08 0.018044 0.067381 0.212808 0.631990 1.727775 4.285285 10.393335